Thursday, December 24, 2009

NFL WEEK 16: ALMOST THERE

So what a stinker the Redskins have been for awhile now. Their lost on Monday Night took them to a new low in the national spotlight. Their new football CZAR Bruce Allen saw he has a huge challenge but he has the eye for talent and character. I witnessed this while he was working with the Raiders who have yet to make the playoffs since he fled for Tampa after the 2003 season. This is a years long process of getting rid of players, coaches and front office people who do not want to win, who do not know what it takes to win. After this thinking is established, they will build from there and hopefully the Redskins will be competitive in a very tough division. If the Ravens and Broncos win out they lock up the wild cards, if not 6 teams will compete for those spots!

The two bowl games, I was so off. That quarterback for BYU can play and carved up the Oregon State secondary in a route. The Mountain West came away with another victory last night against another PAC 10 team, CAL. Quarterback, Riley and coach Tedford did not lead up to the expectations this year and are looking like they will fall again next year. This was their year to take a shot at the PAC 10 title as USC reloads next season to contend for a National Title.


At Tennessee -3 San Diego


San Diego is playing for a first round bye this week. Phillip Rivers is a uber competitor and trash talking, play maker. The Titans have been playing with everything to prove. The game for Vince Young has slowed and he is playing like a professional and not a rookie. But the San Diego defense is playing for a weeks rest in the most crucial point of the season. This game will be close but the Chargers will pull away late and win by a touchdown.


At Green Bay -14 Seattle


The Packers are fighting for a wild card birth but play the Seahawks this week and finished with division winning Arizona. Although definitely not a walk through, the Packers have a clear path to a playing on wild card weekend. They will play inspired ball and roll over the Seahawks at home.


At Cleveland -3.5 Oakland


Did Jamarcus Russell win his starting job back? What a late game performance by young quarterback. Look for more Michael Bush this week against a soft Cleveland defense. Both quarterback situations in this game are intriguing, young guys looking to build for next year, redeem themselves and take their teams to the next level. Both of these quarterbacks have made some plays, but for both of them, the game seems to move to fast. Last week, on the last drive, Russell seemed to catch up to the speed, will it continue. Oakland by a touchdown.


At Miami -3 Houston


The team of two CHADS. Which either team looses this game, they also loose hopes for the playoffs. When Chad Pennington went out for the season with an injury, I thought the Dolphins were going they way of their one win season, last year. Coach Spranao has motivated his players and they have responded as true professionals. The Texans have a talented team and will keep this close for a while. Miami by a touchdown.


At Pittsburgh -2.5 Baltimore


If Baltimore wins this game, they only have to beat Oakland to assure a wild card spot in the playoffs. Pittsburgh has some fight left in them and this game will be super competitive. My head is still hurting from watching these two teams play several weeks ago. Again head will be banging and hats will be flying. Easily the best match up of week, but instead we get Dallas vs Washington Sunday night. I thought they put the best game on Sunday night. Ravens by a field goal.

LAST WEEK: 1-3

SEASON: 41-32


Monday, December 21, 2009

NFL WEEK 15: RESTING FOR THE PLAYOFFS, GETTING TO THE RIGHT BOWL

I saw most games this week as non competitive playoff teams separating themselves from the bottom of the cellar. But I did not feel confident and took this week off, like a team resting their players for the upcoming championship playoff, I feel more confident in my college bowl picks. Week 15 in the NFL saw mostly close games with teams eliminated from playoff contention playing with something to prove. The time of this post is past the start of the Monday Night game, but I have the DVR set and the bet set and have yet to start watching. I do not think I can defend the BCS system but there is something special about the college football season. Every game is amplified because there is post season to determine the true winner, only some bowl games. But it seems again that we have the two best teams in the championship bowl game again this year and yes other undefeated teams can make a case about not being able to have a shot at the tile. Anyway, in many ways, college football is more entertaining than professional.

The Raiders found a way to win in a tough division rivalry game with a contending Broncos team. The Browns, who hired Mike Holmgreen as head of football operation, put up a huge 41 points against the struggling Chiefs. Jamarcus Russell relived Charlie Fry then got knocked out, they put in Lossman who got his bell rung, then Russell made the most of this opportunity the Oakland defense provided. Michael Bush pounded the Denver defense over 130 yards and the Raiders looked almost like a contending team, certainty an inspiring victory. The 49ers and Alex Smith sank in perceptions of being contenders. Coming off a huge win at home against Super bowl runner up, Arizona, they disappointed but their quarterback might of shown he is not worthy of his draft status. The 49ers game seemed closer than it should. Arizona struggled early but found a way to win against Detroit with back up Q.B. Moore playing surprisingly well. Most surprisingly the Minnesota offense line got man handled and the Vikings could not run the ball or establish a passing game.


NY Giants -3 At Washington


The Monday night game is going to be more than hard hitting, jobs are at stake, careers are in jeopardy and playoff hopes can be dashed. The Giants must win to have a chance at the playoffs. Rumors have it that the coach of Washington might be kept only if they can compete with their rival New York. The same can be said for the quarterback Jason Campbell who has seemed to get better but his team continues to slide. The Giants have not been the same team since Plexico shot him self. His threats of the fade jump ball and down the field air bomb have still left the Giants looking for a play maker. Eli Manning might be able to win this game but does not stands a chance against a team like the Eagles who have a couple of deep threats. Skins by four.


MAACO LAS VEGAS BOWL

BYU +2.5 OREGON STATE -2.5


Oregon State is fast, and has play makers all over the field. Their speedy running back Rodgers has 20 touchdowns on the season. BYU is making their fifth consecutive appearance in the same bowl for the first time since going to the Holiday Bowl from 1978-84. They are led by quarterback Max Hall who can throw the ball and has 30 touchdowns on the year. The combination of good quarterback play and ball control should make this a highly competitive ball game, maybe high scoring.




SAN DIEGO COUNTY CU POINSETTIA BOWL

UTAH +3 CALIFORNIA -3


Cal had high expectations coming into the season but their quarterback struggled, they had some injuries and disappointed in a competitive PAC 10. The Bears are looking to build on something for next year and must come away with a victory to seem confident about next years chance to be competitive in the PAC 10. The No. 23 Utes try to extend the nation's longest post season winning streak to nine when they face the Golden Bears. Utah had huge hopes after beating No. 4 Alabama in the Sugar Bowl to finish second in the final rankings but struggled and freshman Joran Wynn took over at quarterback. Cal quarterback Riley will use this game to redeem himself for the performance of the Cal bears this season. Utah will keep it close with good defense but Cal will take control and use their speed to take away scoring opportunities, and will win by a touchdown.


SHERATON HAWAII BOWL

SOUTHERN METHODIST-13 NEVADA +13


Before hiring June Jones, the SMU Mustangs had gone 58-153-3 under four coaches and posted one winning record, 6-5 in 1997. Jones, who led Hawaii to the Sugar Bowl in his ninth and final season there, couldn't break that losing trend in his first year at SMU and finished 1-11. Coming into this season, SMU coach, Jones told his team he wanted to reach the Hawaii Bowl as a tribute to friend and special teams coach Frank Gansz, who died April 27. During the season, Jones reminded them at least "every three or four weeks" of that goal. The locales in the Lake Tahoe are high on their Nevada Wolfpack and standout junior quarterback Colin Kapenick who passed for 1875 yards and ran for another 1160 during this past season. The SMU passing game has not been a huge threat, but the Nevada defense is near the bottom of the nation in pass yard given up per game. This game looks lake a high scoring barn burner but the over might be too high for these schools. The Wolfpack by a touchdown.


LAST WEEK 2-3

SEASON: 40-29